Tocantinópolis vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 2
TOC
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEC
2 - 6
TOC
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
TOC
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
TOC
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 0
ARA
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 4
INT
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
0 - 0
CEC
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |