Tobol Kurgan vs Volga Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2003 |
TOB
1 - 0
ENE
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SNN
2 - 1
TOB
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
URL
6 - 1
TOB
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
KAM
7 - 0
TOB
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ALA
7 - 0
TOB
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2003 |
ZEN
2 - 0
VNN
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
VNN
1 - 3
GAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
VNN
0 - 2
NOS
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
KHI
1 - 1
VNN
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
VNN
1 - 0
ENE
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |