UEFA Intertoto Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Tobol Kostanay vs Zestafoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
3 - 1
TOB
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 1
TOB
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
TOB
0 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
TAR
1 - 3
TOB
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zestafoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZES
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BOR
1 - 2
ZES
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
ZES
7 - 0
KAK
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SIO
0 - 0
ZES
36%
29%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ZES
2 - 0
FTK
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |