Kazakhstani Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Tobol Kostanay vs FC Alma-Ata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
KAI
1 - 1
TOB
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
TOB
3 - 0
KAI
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
ATY
0 - 2
TOB
34%
26%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ALM
0 - 0
TOB
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
VOS
1 - 1
TOB
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alma-Ata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
ALM
1 - 0
FCI
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
ALM
3 - 2
TAR
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ALM
0 - 0
TOB
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EKI
1 - 1
ALM
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
SHY
0 - 5
ALM
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |