Cup Kazakhstan . Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ATY
3 - 0
TOB
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
KYZ
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
OKZ
1 - 2
TOB
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
MAQ
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ATY
3 - 0
TOB
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
ATY
2 - 1
KAI
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ORD
2 - 1
ATY
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 0
AST
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZHE
0 - 3
ATY
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |