Phoenix vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
TFP
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 2
TFP
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
POI
2 - 1
TFP
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
TFP
5 - 1
CEN
7%
12%
80%
|
11 | 50 | 39 | +13 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
TFP
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 59 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 0
CEN
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
DEF
2 - 0
LHR
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
DEF
2 - 1
CAL
75%
16%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
POI
1 - 1
DEF
31%
25%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |