Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura Round 5

Tlaxcala FC vs Leones Negros analysis

Tlaxcala FC Leones Negros
54 ELO 67
2.3% Tilt 2.1%
2580º General ELO ranking 444º
46º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
24.1%
Tlaxcala FC
26.5%
Draw
49.4%
Leones Negros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
Tlaxcala FC
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.4%
Win probability
Leones Negros
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tlaxcala FC
-8%
-1%
Leones Negros

ELO progression

Tlaxcala FC
Leones Negros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tlaxcala FC
Tlaxcala FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2020
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 - 2
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
63%
23%
14%
55 66 11 0
02 Sep. 2020
TIA
Tlaxcala FC
1 - 1
Celaya
TOR
23%
27%
50%
55 67 12 0
20 Aug. 2020
ZAC
Mineros de Zacatecas
1 - 2
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
79%
15%
6%
53 74 21 +2
14 May. 2017
IRA
Irapuato
0 - 1
Tlaxcala FC
TIA
40%
26%
34%
54 51 3 -1
11 May. 2017
TIA
Tlaxcala FC
3 - 0
Irapuato
IRA
46%
25%
29%
52 52 0 +2

Matches

Leones Negros
Leones Negros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2020
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 2
Tampico Madero
TAM
53%
25%
22%
67 65 2 0
06 Sep. 2020
ATL
Atlante FC
0 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
47%
26%
27%
66 68 2 +1
31 Aug. 2020
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 1
Mineros de Zacatecas
ZAC
33%
27%
40%
66 73 7 0
19 Aug. 2020
ALE
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
42%
27%
30%
67 67 0 -1
15 Mar. 2020
UDG
Leones Negros
2 - 2
Mineros de Zacatecas
ZAC
32%
27%
41%
68 75 7 -1