Slovan Velvary vs Neratovice-Byškovice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
4º
16º
4º
3
1º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 31 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 28 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 25 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 25 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 23 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 21 |
8º
|
3% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 21 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 21 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 21 |
11º
|
5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 19 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 19 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 19 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 18 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 17 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 16 |
17º
|
11% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Velvary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
PAR
4 - 1
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2025 |
KOS
0 - 3
VEL
13%
17%
70%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
VEL
1 - 2
UST
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
VEL
2 - 4
FKD
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
VEL
3 - 0
SPP
72%
17%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Neratovice-Byškovice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
NER
0 - 2
ACL
31%
26%
44%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
MBI
0 - 2
NER
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BRA
3 - 2
NER
16%
21%
64%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STC
3 - 4
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
NER
2 - 3
FKD
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |