Polepy vs Jablonec II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polepy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ADM
1 - 3
TJP
58%
20%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TJP
6 - 0
TRU
64%
19%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UST
7 - 1
TJP
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TJP
0 - 3
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
TJP
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
JBN
4 - 1
UNI
62%
21%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
JBN
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JBN
1 - 0
HKI
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JBN
3 - 0
ADM
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TRU
0 - 7
JBN
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |