Tivoli Gardens vs Humble Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
SAV
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
TRI
51%
27%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 2
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
TRI
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LIO
0 - 0
HAR
31%
30%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
LIO
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 2
ARN
46%
29%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
LIO
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
WAT
4 - 0
LIO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |