Tivoli Gardens vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
LIO
3 - 0
TRI
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 0
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 1
TRI
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOY
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 2
TRI
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
CAV
2 - 1
BOY
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 2
RIV
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
CAV
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 0
AUG
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAV
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |