Tiverton Town vs Rugby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WEA
1 - 2
TIV
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
TIV
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
TIV
5 - 2
NOR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TIV
3 - 2
YAT
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
EVE
1 - 1
TIV
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
RUG
1 - 3
NAN
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
YAT
2 - 4
RUG
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
RUG
2 - 0
LAN
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LAN
3 - 3
RUG
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
RUG
4 - 0
STO
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +4 |