Tiverton Town vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 2
TIV
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TIV
2 - 2
WAL
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TIV
0 - 1
POO
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HAY
0 - 0
TIV
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
TIV
3 - 2
TAU
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 0
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 4
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 2
HAR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
WES
2 - 1
HAR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 2
WIM
55%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |