Tiro Federal Rosario vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TAL
2 - 0
TFE
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
TFE
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 1
TFE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
TFE
0 - 3
LIB
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
JAN
0 - 2
TFE
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
CAA
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
CAA
1 - 1
GYT
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
CAA
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CAA
2 - 0
CDN
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
TAL
2 - 1
CAA
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |