KF Tirana vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
1º
40
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BYL
0 - 1
TIR
25%
28%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 2
VEL
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
3 - 3
LAÇ
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 2
TIR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 3
TIR
8%
17%
75%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KUK
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
4 - 0
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 0
EGN
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BYL
4 - 1
ERZ
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 2
ERZ
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |