KF Tirana vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
1º
40
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BYL
0 - 1
TIR
25%
28%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 2
VEL
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
3 - 3
LAÇ
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 2
TIR
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 3
TIR
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KUK
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
4 - 0
TUR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 0
EGN
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BYL
4 - 1
ERZ
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 2
ERZ
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |