Tinyosi vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tinyosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
TIN
57%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
TIN
56%
20%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
TIN
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
TIN
0 - 3
TAM
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
ROY
2 - 0
TIN
62%
22%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 2
MBA
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MBA
0 - 2
ROY
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
MBA
3 - 2
GRE
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 4
MBA
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
HIG
1 - 2
MBA
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |