Tinajo vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tinajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
PDS
1 - 3
TIN
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TIN
3 - 0
ING
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SNI
0 - 1
TIN
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
TIN
3 - 3
AGC
35%
22%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TIN
1 - 0
BLP
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
COS
0 - 0
UDG
30%
23%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
3 - 1
COS
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
COS
1 - 3
UDL
9%
17%
73%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VLS
1 - 0
COS
48%
25%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BEC
1 - 0
COS
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |