Timbaúba vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timbaúba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 1
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VCR
0 - 0
TFC
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
TFC
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
SER
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +3 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
LIM
0 - 1
TFC
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
VCR
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
OFC
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FEC
0 - 1
CHA
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |