Tilbury vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
TIL
4 - 1
ROM
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 1
TIL
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
TIL
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ILF
2 - 2
TIL
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
TIL
2 - 1
HAR
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
4 - 0
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 1
GRA
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 3
RED
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
7 - 0
GRE
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
SOH
1 - 3
WAL
33%
25%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |