Tilbury vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 0
TIL
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HUL
0 - 4
TIL
35%
22%
44%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
TIL
1 - 2
MAL
18%
20%
63%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
TIL
2 - 1
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
HTG
1 - 0
TIL
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 2
YEL
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
YEL
2 - 0
HEY
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
YEL
1 - 0
BRE
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
YEL
0 - 0
HTG
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
YEL
0 - 0
GRA
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |