Tijuana vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TIJ
0 - 2
SAN
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
QRO
2 - 0
TIJ
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TIJ
3 - 3
PUE
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TIG
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MON
5 - 1
LEO
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |