Thurrock vs Wroxham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 2
THU
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
THU
10 - 1
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
THU
6 - 0
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
VCD
2 - 0
THU
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 2
THU
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Wroxham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 1
WRO
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WRO
4 - 2
TIL
49%
21%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
YEL
1 - 0
WRO
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 0
WRO
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
WRO
4 - 3
WAL
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |