Thurrock vs Cheshunt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PHO
0 - 2
THU
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 3
THU
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
THU
4 - 1
GRE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
WHI
0 - 3
THU
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
4 - 1
THU
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRI
55%
21%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
THA
1 - 2
CHE
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 2
HEY
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 2
TIL
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
0 - 2
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |