Thurrock vs Bury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 1
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
THU
0 - 2
HAM
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 0
THU
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
BAS
31%
27%
43%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 0
THU
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Bury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 1
BUR
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TOO
1 - 7
BUR
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 1
CRA
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
BUR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |