Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.2%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.3%
5-0
9.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.1%
1.5%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
5%
2%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
THU
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
KCF
2 - 1
THU
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
THU
0 - 2
CFC
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
THU
0 - 3
DES
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
WSA
0 - 3
DES
7%
13%
81%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
WSA
1 - 2
CFC
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
WSA
0 - 3
THU
8%
18%
74%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
CFC
4 - 0
WSA
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |