Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
KCB
0 - 3
THU
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
STL
3 - 2
THU
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
SPR
0 - 2
THU
11%
20%
70%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
THU
5 - 2
SPR
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
SPR
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
WSA
2 - 3
KCB
22%
21%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
WSA
0 - 1
REA
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
STL
1 - 2
WSA
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SPR
1 - 0
WSA
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
SPR
0 - 0
WSA
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |