Thun vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
5º
2º
44
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
THU
3 - 1
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NEX
4 - 0
THU
19%
22%
59%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
THU
23%
24%
54%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
THU
4 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
WIL
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
WIL
27%
25%
47%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCV
35%
25%
41%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 2
WIL
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |