Challenge League Round 1

Thun vs FC Wil analysis

Thun FC Wil
73 ELO 60
-0.6% Tilt 0%
432º General ELO ranking 1130º
12º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
70.7%
Thun
18.6%
Draw
10.7%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
Thun
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
FC Wil
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thun
+13%
-5%
FC Wil

ELO progression

Thun
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 1993
CSC
CS Chênois
1 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
64%
21%
15%
60 66 6 0
09 Jun. 1993
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
Basel
BAS
25%
25%
50%
60 76 16 0
05 Jun. 1993
LOC
Locarno
2 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
63%
22%
15%
61 67 6 -1
25 May. 1993
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 3
Luzern
FCL
22%
27%
51%
61 84 23 0
22 May. 1993
BUL
Bulle
1 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
62%
22%
16%
61 65 4 0