Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
STA
2 - 3
THU
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
THU
3 - 1
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
THU
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 3
THU
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
THU
1 - 0
KRI
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GCZ
1 - 4
NEX
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 0
STA
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
NEX
3 - 0
SCH
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEX
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |