Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
GCZ
0 - 0
THU
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
THU
2 - 3
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
THU
0 - 0
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
YOB
3 - 2
NEX
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 0
GCZ
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 0
SIO
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NEX
0 - 3
SIO
40%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |