Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GCZ
0 - 2
THU
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
THU
2 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
52%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
YOB
1 - 2
THU
65%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAU
2 - 4
THU
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
GCZ
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
FCL
66%
19%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 0
LAU
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SIO
2 - 1
FCL
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 4
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |