Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
YOB
3 - 0
THU
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
THU
3 - 3
MAR
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ZUR
0 - 2
THU
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
THU
0 - 0
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 4
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 3
SIO
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCL
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SIO
1 - 3
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |