Thun vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
YOB
4 - 1
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LAU
4 - 4
THU
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
THU
1 - 1
FCV
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
THU
5 - 1
NEX
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
THU
1 - 1
GAL
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
STG
2 - 1
GCZ
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
APO
3 - 3
GCZ
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FCL
4 - 3
GCZ
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 1
APO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |