Thun vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
STG
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
THU
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
THU
2 - 3
ZUR
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SIO
1 - 0
THU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
GCZ
1 - 3
STG
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BEL
64%
21%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GCZ
1 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |