Thun vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
HÄC
1 - 2
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
YOB
3 - 2
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
THU
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
THU
3 - 2
STG
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
CHI
53%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCA
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 3
WOH
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |