Thun II vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
THU
55%
21%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
THU
0 - 1
FCG
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SOL
4 - 2
THU
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
SCH
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ZOF
0 - 5
THU
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCG
1 - 3
MUT
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MUT
3 - 8
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 1
MUT
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MUT
1 - 0
DOR
41%
24%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OLD
4 - 0
MUT
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |