Thun II vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 2
THU
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
THU
4 - 1
SCH
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZUG
3 - 0
THU
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
FCS
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 3
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BUO
2 - 0
FCM
57%
21%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LUZ
3 - 2
BUO
47%
22%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BUO
0 - 3
BER
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DEL
0 - 2
BUO
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BUO
2 - 1
BLA
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |