Thun II vs Bassecourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
14º
9º
39
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
1 - 2
THU
28%
21%
50%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THU
7 - 0
RTK
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 1
THU
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 2
THU
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
7 - 0
WOH
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 2
EMM
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
BAS
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
BLA
29%
24%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |