Thun II vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OLD
3 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
FCZ
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WAN
1 - 1
THU
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
MUN
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 0
THU
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 1
FCZ
57%
21%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 0
BAS
21%
23%
57%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
5 - 0
MUT
79%
13%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCG
0 - 1
BAS
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
SCH
62%
20%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |