Three Bridges vs Lancing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
18º
15º
43
12º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 67 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
66 | 66 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
65 | 65 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
57 | 57 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
38 | 38 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
31 | 31 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
28 | 28 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
THR
3 - 2
DEA
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
THR
2 - 0
VCD
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEV
1 - 0
THR
72%
17%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
THR
3 - 0
WHI
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
WOR
2 - 0
THR
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Lancing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 4
EAS
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
HAY
2 - 2
LAN
72%
18%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 3
BEC
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
4 - 0
RFC
79%
13%
7%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 1
LAN
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |