Thouars vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
CLE
2 - 0
THO
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
EVR
0 - 1
THO
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
THO
2 - 0
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
RAC
4 - 0
THO
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
PFC
2 - 1
THO
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
GAZ
2 - 0
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
GAZ
0 - 0
IST
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
RED
2 - 0
GAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
GAZ
3 - 0
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
RAO
0 - 0
GAZ
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |