Thisted vs Brabrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
THI
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VFF
1 - 1
THI
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 4
THI
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
SKI
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
B93
1 - 1
THI
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brabrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
THI
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
VEJ
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
HOB
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
SKI
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |