Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
12º
12º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ESB
5 - 1
THI
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
THI
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
THI
1 - 3
MID
24%
25%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
THI
4 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
THI
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 2
AAF
14%
20%
66%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
1 - 7
AAF
5%
10%
85%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 1
ROS
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
AAF
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |