Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAE
4 - 3
THI
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HEL
0 - 1
THI
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
THI
0 - 1
KOL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 3
THI
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
THI
2 - 0
FA2
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AAF
3 - 0
KOL
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NAE
1 - 1
AAF
38%
27%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AAF
3 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
SKI
2 - 1
AAF
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AAF
4 - 1
HEL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |