Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
OTB
1 - 0
THI
24%
22%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
THI
1 - 3
SKA
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
THI
37%
24%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
THI
3 - 1
SKI
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 4
THI
34%
23%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 0
AAF
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AAF
4 - 1
OTB
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
RIN
1 - 2
AAF
22%
20%
58%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SKA
1 - 3
AAF
35%
24%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AAF
5 - 1
VAR
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |