Third Lanark vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1911 |
GRE
2 - 3
TLA
22%
25%
53%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
TLA
0 - 3
HIB
74%
16%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
PAR
1 - 0
TLA
31%
25%
45%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
HOM
0 - 1
TLA
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1910 |
TLA
2 - 0
DUN
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1911 |
KIL
3 - 1
HIB
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
AIR
3 - 1
KIL
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1911 |
KIL
2 - 2
STM
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1910 |
KIL
0 - 2
GLA
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1910 |
KIL
2 - 1
QUE
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |