Thespa Gunma vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 0
THE
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
EHI
3 - 0
THE
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
THE
2 - 0
CER
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 1
THE
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
THE
1 - 1
KYO
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AVI
4 - 0
YOK
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOK
0 - 3
AVI
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AVI
4 - 2
TOC
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AVI
1 - 0
JEF
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CER
0 - 1
AVI
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |