Thermaikos Thermis vs Alexandroupolis FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+188%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
11º
9º
3
12º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thermaikos Thermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NES
0 - 0
THT
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
DOX
0 - 0
THT
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
THT
1 - 3
ARA
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
THT
3 - 1
AOK
20%
25%
56%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
THT
0 - 2
PNM
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Alexandroupolis FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ASM
0 - 0
PFC
7%
13%
81%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
APP
2 - 0
ASM
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
NES
2 - 1
ASM
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DOX
4 - 1
ASM
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
ASM
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |