The Strongest vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
STR
4 - 0
AUR
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
BLO
1 - 4
STR
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BLO
4 - 1
STR
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
STR
8 - 0
ABB
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
STR
6 - 2
OPE
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAH
3%
13%
84%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
BAH
5 - 1
ARN
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BAH
6 - 0
COL
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
SDJ
0 - 0
BAH
7%
18%
75%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |