The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 3
TNS
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
HAV
0 - 1
TNS
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
2 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
3 - 0
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAE
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
CEF
1 - 0
WEL
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |